Yet more coincidences, honest. It can't be the mass jabbing honest guv'

Any other explanation to account for this?

Totally unscientific quick look at ONS data:

Following on from this post:

As I have a quiet 5 minutes at work I thought I’d have a look and see how the latest mass jabbing is going:

https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/

then I looked at the weekly ONS deaths releases:

25th August 2023:

• The number of deaths was above the five-year average in private homes (12.5% above, 316 excess deaths), and other settings (11.5% above, 91 excess deaths), and below the five-year average in care homes (1.4% below, 28 fewer deaths) and hospitals (0.1% below, 3 fewer deaths). 

Seems to be sitting at the “new normal” excess deaths band.

01st September 2023:

• The number of deaths was above the five-year average in private homes (6.6% above, 144 excess deaths), other settings (5.1% above, 36 excess deaths) and care homes (1.9% above, 34 excess deaths), and below the five-year average in hospitals (4.1% below, 154 fewer deaths).

Again about the “new normal” as things settle down from the Bank Holiday reporting and the care home deaths are pretty constant.

08th September 2023:

• The number of deaths was above the five-year average in private homes (5.3% above, 138 excess deaths) and other settings (0.9% above, 7 excess deaths), and below the five-year average in hospitals (0.8% below, 34 fewer deaths) and care homes (1.2% below, 25 fewer deaths).

Still pretty constant and care home deaths are low.

15th September 2023 - first release after the latest brought forward jabbing campaign started:

• The number of deaths was above the five-year average in private homes (11.6% above, 305 excess deaths) and care homes (4.5% above, 94 excess deaths), and below the five-year average in hospitals (0.2% below, 7 fewer deaths) and other settings (0.4% below, 3 fewer deaths).

Observable and quiet significant percentage rise in excess deaths in care homes.

Then the latest release for 2 weeks into the mass jabbing campaign for the 22nd September 2023:

• The number of deaths was above the five-year average in private homes (19.2% above, 480 excess deaths), care homes (3.5% above, 69 excess deaths), hospitals (4.7% above, 204 excess deaths) and other settings (10.5% above, 82 excess deaths).

Big jump in excess deaths at home but care homes trending down but too early to tell for sure.

But it’s not the Winter cold and ‘flu season yet so the rise in excess deaths away from “medical care settings” cannot be caused by that can it?

So what has caused it?

Time will tell.

But as the numbers of those eligible for the jab this campaign is significantly lower than previous campaigns I predicted a small rise in numbers before dropping off over another month or so in care homes and then hospital as those who did not die quickly are sent there to be finished off as their care home cannot do the job but a steady rise in the other settings and especially at home categories as people multi-dosed already succumb to the illnesses and medical problems they have developed over the past 2 1/2 years.

I would like to be proven wrong though.